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Today, the Ukraine is a territory where opposition has become vehement. Contradictory argumentation is set so far apart, that there is hardly a soothsayer who has the insight to forecast the outcome.

Fragmentation of its territory is predictable and little is said about ways of resolving the breach that has split the country into insidious ethnical margins. The fact that Ukraine's statehood is in such a premature phase raises hinders formulating the country's objectives.

The Ukrainians are divided. Some perceive their future in immediate dissociation with their Soviet heritage and aspire to a speedily retreat to western values, particularly in those regions where ethnical Ukrainians dominate in number; the other part conceive their historical, cultural and ethnical roots as integrally bound to Russia. There is also no political affiliation incorporating a stand that could meliorate either side.
The Ukrainian elite lack any constructive ideas that could consolidate the country and anticipate guidance from abroad. The inferior forces that seek harbor in western values and NATO, bound geographically to the west of Ukraine, do not constitute a homogenous whole.

There are the so called Euro-Atlantic adherents, decisively pro-American. Their cross-mates are Euro-Continental followers of France and Germany seeking independent accreditation free of American influence. They demonstrate independence and readiness to cooperate with Russia. Eastern Ukrainians, residing in former Russian territories inhabited by ethnical Russians, have a decisive impulse to value Russian culture and are in direct opposition to loosening their ties to Russia. These people would never associate themselves with NATO.

The number of ethnical Russians living in various administrative districts of the Ukraine ranges from: 85 % in the Dzitomirskaya oblast, 42 % in the Donetskaya oblast, 25 % in the Odessaya oblast, 40 % in the Luganskaya oblast, 67% in the Crimea, and 20 % residing in the capital Kiev. Shortsighted Ukrainian nationalists - prompted by pro-American coaching and direct funding - are doing their job.

America's attempt to pull Ukraine into the North Atlantic Alliance, against the will of leading European countries and the majority of people living in the Ukraine, is not guided by the intention to encourage Ukraine to develop into a fairer state of democracy as proclaimed by the Bush administration. Such a resolution, if ever forcibly imposed on the people of Ukraine, would become a source of endless problems between Ukraine and Russia. The EU and NATO would inevitably become involved.

The only remedy to Ukraine’s current disunity is definitely not in seeking entrance to .... (see full text in PDF)