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August 11, 2008 |  Print | E-Mail Ask The Community  

Samir   Awwad

Georgia and the NATO expansion

Samir Awwad:

The creation of a common market in order to fight poverty in the region has been reported for almost two years. With Turkey heading the efforts to stabilize the area to its east the Greater Middle East witnessed a peaceful comeback of the Secular-Muslim Republic laying the ground for drying out most of coming crisis potential that would affect the PKK, Iran, Kazakhstan and the Muslim communities spreading to Chinas eastern border.
The Georgian approach against Russian troops however increased the risk indices of the region tremendously making potential investors taking a new Soviet Union style approach by Russia into consideration. 
Political analysts may ask for the role of Gasprom behind that approach? Hardly!

The map at the bottom of this text clearly identifies enough room for pipelines and alternative routes for oil and gas supplies.

Russians generals, however, now have the opportunity to try their new equipped weaponry and will make an example of Georgia that moves all of Russia’s neighbors into a cloud of fear making social reforms and peaceful developments from Ukraine to Serbia over Georgia and the Turkmen states (Silk Road states) more unlikely. This is a disastrous knock-on effect on the development of approaching Islamic movements between Turkey and Xingjian that witnessed an almost peaceful approach now going to witness a lack of social development among their neighbors and families.  
 
After Kosovo’s declaration of independence Putin stated he already prepared for revenge. A Ukrainian NATO membership and the missile shield in Poland would improve stable developments in the region also making Russia’s big boys and girls profiting because of their cultural homogeneities among the social communities.

Georgia, however, is a tiny fish among the sharks and its role is to be identified carefully. As Russia’s envoy to the UN asked US foreign secretary of State Mrs. Rice the Georgian President would be ought to leave, a less diplomatic debate about democratic leadership unleashed at the UN Security Council yesterday, not taking into consideration Russia’s allegations on genocide against the Russian minority in Georgia. In fact Georgia fired artillery on a 40.000 inhabitant’s counting regional capital, who are considered to be Georgian citizens – This is not NATO style. NATO membership is neither a complimentary ticket nor a shooting club!  And the single aspect this confrontation witnesses, we can't help them!?

Maybe Russia was right with the Georgian President at least?

 

FYI Regional Map and Pipeline Map

http://media.ft.com/cms/2585c432-67c7-11dd-8d3b-0000779fd18c.gif

 

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