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July 20, 2007 |  8 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

Germany Should Reconsider Position in Afghanistan

Niels Annen: I question the sustainability of Operation Enduring Freedom. And I see deteriorating coordination between ISAF and OEF and asks whether it is time to choose between the two.



Grounds for Involvement
Today the German Bundeswehr is deployed all over the world. In addition to its national defense tasks, it is now involved in crisis response and management.

Under the Schröder administration, the government explicitly stated that in military deployments abroad, the Bundeswehr would primarily serve in peace and security efforts, and would only do so after the utility and sensibility of individual cases were discussed. Military tools alone, however, can never solve a conflict: they require accompanying measures. Conflict-stabilizing operations serve to establish the necessary space and time to develop political solutions. Military operations abroad must therefore always be embedded in a broader political framework that combines both military and political tools, especially in development policy.

Evaluating Progress
Because of this, an assessment of the Bundeswehr’s deployment in Afghanistan is fraught with ambiguity. Alongside numerous improvements in the framework of the ISAF mandate, there are also areas where positive results have been insufficient or altogether nonexistent. The security situation, especially outside of Kabul, is extremely tense. There has been an increase in politically motivated attacks, particularly in the south and the east. The most recent attacks suggest that it is also becoming increasingly dangerous for foreign troops in the north and the west. The cultivation of drugs and increase in crime present further threats.

In general, President Karzai must accept the criticism that regional warlords—among them war criminals—have too much influence in the parliament and the provinces. These conditions are exacerbated by ineffective and corrupt state institutions in many regions, which undermine the people’s trust in the government and in foreign peacekeeping forces.

ISAF vs. OEF
An honest assessment of “Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF)” is far less positive than that of the ISAF-mandate’s agenda and goals. Though the necessity of a military component in Afghanistan remains undisputed, both operations now seem increasingly incompatible. The mandate’s legitimacy is in question: how long does the right of self-defense remain legitimate? The affiliation of ISAF and OEF-troops is becoming increasingly ambiguous, and not only for the Afghan population. Reports of uncoordinated military action among troops in Afghanistan are on the rise, and the coordination of command between the two operations is growing more difficult.

The task of the international community has therefore not yet been achieved; insecurity and violence still hinder progress in Afghanistan. But is this a sensible reason to withdraw?

Difficult Questions
The Taliban have been given a boost by the West’s wavering commitment to the country. Military counterterrorism efforts, at least as they exist under the umbrella of OEF in Afghanistan, are not succeeding. Nonetheless, we still have a strong interest in preventing Afghanistan from once again becoming a haven for international terrorists.

We must ask ourselves whether OEF—as an operation of the so-called “coalition of the willing” under American leadership—is still a sustainable model for engagement in Afghanistan and beyond.


Niels Annen has been a Social Democrat member of the German Parliament since 2005. He is a member of the SPD party leadership and deputy chair of the democratic forum Linke 21.


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Valentina  Klausen

July 20, 2007

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MP Annen is right, but only in his headline. Germany does indeed need to rethink its position regarding Afghanistan. The recently deployed Tornados were a step in the right direction. As Mr. Annen rightly points out, there are regions in Afghanistan where war lords (call them war criminals if you will), are de facto in power. A decreased international force will not help that problem, rather on the contrary: it will stabilize these rulers, because it gives them more credibility. As far as the OEF and ISAF mandate go, one cannot plant a tree without preparing the soil.
 
Will  Nuland

July 20, 2007

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Reuters is reporting another kidnapping on a highway between Kabul and Kandahar http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSISL13294820070720. 18 South Korean nationals, all of them Christian volunteers, were taken hostage by Taliban rebels early this moning. Add this to the kidnapping Wednesday of 2 German nationals and Taliban demands that Berlin withdraw its forces from Afghanistan, and you've got an increasingly sensitive situation in terms of German involvement.

I wonder how the increase of such activity will change the stances of MP like Annen. Any thoughts?
 
Oliver  Hauss

July 20, 2007

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I think the situation is much more complex than either of you states. Throwing accusations against Karsai is only going to weaken him. He works with what he has been handed by us. As for the warlords, what is ignored is that Afghanistan is still a very tribally-organized society. This was shown both by the Taliban and by its Afghan opponents. Ignoring that fact is NOT going to produce a stable society.

The situation in Afghanistan in my eyes suffers from a variety of problems similar to those in Iraq:
*It is expected that the new government acts as authority, but neither is it treated like one, nor is it given the tools of one. By this, the government is undermined by its supposed supporters.
*Existing power structures are largely ignored and believed to be replaceable overnight. This is bound to create opposition by those set to lose power.

Trying to bring the warlords down by force is a recipe for disaster in my eyes. It will lead to ever increasing losses, ever increasing collateral damage and ever-decreasing rootedness in the population of the central government as well as ever-decreasing support at home.

Most of all, if one wants to remove the warlords as a military threat, it is important to stop using them. You can't tell one warlord to disarm while having his archenemy neighbor run covert ops for you. The sole cooperation should be with the official Afghan armed forces.

Second, I don't see that much of a problem with warlords in parliament. A lot of them were elected already, yes. But in my eyes, that should be made contingent on disarmament. Being part of the political establishment while defying it at the same time is irreconcilable.

Lastly, if we want Karsai to project authority, we should accept his authority likewise. Which means: Operations are coordinated with the Karsai government, period --if there is suspicion of a risk of leaking sensitive information to the wrong people, this can very much be done at the highest level. Second: Any incident is investigated together with Afghan authorities. Etc.etc. If Karsai is supposed to run this country and be seen as such by the Afghanis, then we should accept that he is the authority there --not the Pentagon.
 
Member deleted

July 20, 2007

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Mr. Annen,
you have stated your dislike for OEF more clearly in a recent interview with Der Stern (http://www.stern.de/politik/deutschland/:Operation-Enduring-Freedom...). You state that OEF's mandate should not be extended when the vote comes up in the Bundestag in the fall. This position is at odds with what the chairman of the SPD party faction in the Bundestag, Peter Struck, has said.

Your argument is rather simplistic, I'm afraid: ISAF is a good mission, OEF a bad one. Americans lead the bad mission which involves the stuff that the military is designed for (fighting adversaries) which is bad and is based on coalitions of the willing.

Mr. Annen, we don't get Afghanistan right with social workers alone - as much as you might wish for this. You need boots on the ground that are ready to take on the bad guys and fight. You need the United States. Germany's allies are quite right to ask more of Berlin in Afghanistan. German politicians should tell the German public that they will have to get used to more international military engagements rather then less in the future.

Focusing on "bad mandates" instead of how to fight "evil folks" is playing reckless political games.
 
Robert  Shawley

July 20, 2007

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I agree that we currently need more hard power in Afghanistan, but why is that? The answer: we continue to ignore the societal underpinnings that evolved alongside the Afghan war economy.

Although that clearly means engaging with existing power structures, this does not equal engaging with warlords - nor does tribalism equal warlordism. Although over 20 years of a 'thriving' war economy means the two are very much intertwined, there are ways to undermine warlordism without attacking the much older tribal structures of Afghan society - even empowering them. From the beginning, the Coalition relied too heavily on local warlords as proxies, thus legitimizing their role as main local and regional security providers (and after the parliamentary elections also as political representatives). The main non-security-related pillar of the warlords' control is a debt-for-poppy-seed exchange, in which the Afghan poppy grower is always one harvest behind the debt he owes the local strongman. That this strategy continues to be effective can be gleamed from the fact that our 'warlord allies' have been very busy little bees when it comes to expanding poppy cultivation in areas under their control.

Both these problems (security and economic dependence of the populace on warlords) can and must be addressed in tandem, and there are very clear steps that can be taken to do so. Exactly the same strategy can be applied to areas under Taliban control. But we refuse, instead decrying the 'lack of boots on the ground' while at the same time failing to empower the vast majority of non-militant Afghan society, and deluding ourselves with the notion that elections=progress.

Certainly, for the moment, more military force is required. But neither Afghanistan nor Iraq are wars that can be won on the battlefield.
 
Oliver  Hauss

July 20, 2007

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--Marie-Anne Moosbacher
"Focusing on “bad mandates” instead of how to fight “evil folks” is playing reckless political games."

Sorry, but to me, talking about "evil folks" is playing reckless political games. Reckless, because it oversimplifies, and games, because it has little to do with far more complex moral constellations. As long as more troops do the same ol' same ol' that less troops are doing now, pouring in more troops won't bring more success.
 
Niels  Annen

July 25, 2007

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In response to _Will Nuland’s_ comment:
(1) The recent cases of kidnappings in Afghanistan are acts of criminals and the German government is doing the best it can to free the victims. However, it would be completely wrong to draw the conclusion to thus end German military engagement in Afghanistan. We must not ignore the responsibility we took for a stabilization of the country. Kidnappings do not change the political situation there. We therefore must not succumb to such pressure and sacrifice the necessary political debatte about renewing the mandates for Afghanistan. It just proves even more dramatically the extent and scale of the challenges and problems that Afghanistan is facing. Instead, feeding doubts about the relyability of the international support for a reconstruction of Afghanistan will only be a boost to the Taliban.

And in response to _Marie-Anne Mosbacher’s_ and _Oliver Hauss’_ comment:
(2) I quite clearly stated the necessity of a military component in Afghanistan. But just as “social workers alone”, as Ms Mosbacher stated, cannot solve the problem, increased military force cannot be the sole adequate reaction either. I won’t get tired to demand an integrated approach of fighting terrorism, one that combines both military and political tools. Military interventions can only buy time to prepare political solutions. What we need to see is an ambitious implementation of the Afghanistan Compact. Unilateral military actions and a lack of coordination between OEF and ISAF fail to reach the overall goal of a stabilization and reconstruction of Afghanistan to prevent it from becoming a safe haven for terrorism.
 
Member deleted

July 26, 2007

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Mr. Annen,
Your comment actually sounds more sophisticated than your piece for Atlantic Community and certainly more sophisticated than your interview with Stern (http://www.nielsannen.de/cms/front_content.php?idcat=112&idart=337). In this interview you clearly articulate your dislike for Operation Enduring Freedom and demand an end of Germany’s participation in this mission. Why are you backpedaling now?

I support your call for an "integrated approach”, one that combines all the tools available, civilian and military. But following this logic would lead to demanding improved coordination between ISAF and OEF. Calling for an end to OEF, as you do, misses the point. You are pretending that Germany can actually sit back, relax, dig some wells here, and build some schools there, while other nations, chiefly the Americans, do the dirty stuff. While this stance may cater to the anti-war mood in the German public and appeases SPD left it does advance a serious debate about how to win the fight against terrorism and stabilize war-torn countries like Afghanistan.
 

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