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January 29, 2008 |  4 comments |  Print | E-Mail Your Opinion  

Volker Perthes

The Hard Choices of Intervention

Volker Perthes: I admit that there is no simple checklist to determine how, when, or where German troops should be deployed abroad. But there are a number of valid questions that can be posed before soldiers are sent to peacekeeping and peace-enf

In the Bundestag these days, German participation in international interventions is rarely discussed in terms of the fundamental question of whether the Bundeswehr should participate. It is‚ rather‚ viewed in terms of how, when, where, and, in light of the strain on personnel and material resources, increasingly how often.
During these debates some participants occasionally ask for a list of criteria that could facilitate the Bundestag’s decision to send German soldiers into various kinds of stabilizing, peacekeeping, or peace-enforcing missions. Some party delegations in parliament have set out papers and guidelines for interventions. However, a checklist of sorts to determine whether sufficient conditions are met cannot replace a serious full-blown political discussion in a parliamentary democracy. Such decisions have to be based on an informed strategic debate, one that reflects the growing skepticism in Germany about foreign interventions. That said, there are a number of critical questions that must be taken into consideration in such a debate.

The Risks Involved
In preparation for international missions, policymakers should seek strategic and area-specific advice. Among other questions, they should inquire about the specific on-the-ground circumstances of the conflict and local antagonists’ attitudes toward the intervention—and toward the participation of German troops in particular. It must be asked whether this conflict can be meaningfully addressed with a reasonable deployment of military forces. Moreover, what relationship does the mission envision between its military and civilian components? Is the number of soldiers authorized by the Security Council, as well as other personnel and material resources, sufficient to accomplish the mission’s stated goals? Where no obvious deadline for the mission’s end has been set — as has been the case with the 2006 EUFOR mission to secure elections in the Democratic Republic of Congo — has the intended success of the mission been defined by relatively clear goals?

It is often the case that peacekeeping missions last longer than originally envisioned. The necessity of an international military presence in Bosnia a full 12 years after the original deployment, first under NATO and as of 2004 under EU command, is just one example. Nonetheless, it is legitimate to ask from the beginning whether there is a plan, or the scheduled formulation of one, for intervention forces to transfer responsibilities to local security forces, local administrations, and civil society organizations in a timely fashion. Part of this includes building the capacities local actors need in order to take on such responsibilities. Otherwise, the mere presence of foreign troops is at risk of providing reasons for the mission’s extension. Foreign soldiers can be perceived as occupiers — even if they do not see themselves that way — and consequently be confronted with violent uprisings that require yet more troops in order to be contained. At least in some parts of Afghanistan the international mission is patently running the risk of such a development.

More often, however, an international political and military presence causes comfortable dependencies and enables local actors to leave their fundamental political conflicts unaddressed as long as international troops are there to prevent new outbreaks of civil war, or to be held responsible if violence does break out.

Likewise, the question of whether Germany has certain comparative advantages or disadvantages for different kinds of missions in comparison to other states must be considered. This could be Germany’s lack of a colonial history in a given region or its being perceived as neutral by local parties involved in the conflict. It could also be the case that Germany might have especially good relations in the region, while other external parties are in some way compromised (or vice-versa). It could be that the mission in question requires specific competencies that German intervention forces might or might not have. Soft skills play a particular role here, including language skills, cultural sensitivity to the societies concerned, or expertise in coordinating military and civilian components of international missions, such as the Provincial Reconstruction Teams in northern Afghanistan.

On the whole and in comparison to other international actors within the parameters of the European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP), the European Union has at its disposal fairly advanced civil crisis intervention mechanisms, even if they still leave something to be desired. This predisposes the European Union to participation in so-called hybrid missions, which require close cooperation between military battle and stabilization forces on the one hand, and civil reconstruction and administrative authorities on the other. The prioritized development of exactly these capabilities reflects preferences among EU member states in addressing crises and conflicts. At the same time, however, this cannot mean that Germany and other EU states limit themselves to civilian tasks.


Volker Perthes is the director of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP). His most recent book is Arab Elites: Negotiating the Politics of Change.

This article is presented as an excerpt from a longer essay published in the Global Edition of Internationale Politik, Germany’s foremost foreign policy journal and a collaboration partner of the Atlantic Community.

The Hard Choices of Intervention, IP Global Edition Fall 2007

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James  Cricks

January 30, 2008

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The fundamental question should be, "Does Germany have a national interest in the operation?" Participation and exports have been keys to German prosperity so skepticism about foreign intervention appears to be counterintuitive. Participation in international operations should be given the benefit of the doubt because it is a highly effective tool. Sometimes these benefits will be hard to quantify or verbalize for an anxious public. Benefits should also be carefully considered when risks are weighed.

Certainly Afghanistan should be stabilized so terrorist groups are not be allowed to fester there again. Operatives for the 11 September terrorist attacks trained in Afghanistan before they left Hamburg for the US. Sanctuaries in failed states, like Afghanistan in 2000, do not benefit Germany or its partners. Those nations that participate fully should also have a greater say when decisions are made on global issues.

The US went through much of the same discussion during the 1950's. Senator Taft believed in isolating America from foreign entanglements. Taft wanted to withdraw into fortress America and avoid international conflict. General Eisenhower felt the US should be engaged and he supported NATO. There were many risks in his approach but I think Germany and the rest of Europe are better because we overcame our skepticism with strong leadership.
 
Donald  Stadler

January 30, 2008

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“Does Germany have a national interest in the operation?”

Good question, Mr. Cricks. That certainly is the question Americans would be asking ourselves. But with Germans I think it's more complicated. Partly because of the legacy of post-Bismark German history of course. But it's also complicated by Germans notions of political morality, which sometimes seem rather utopian to American eyes. If it's up the the Germans to prevent another Rwanda? Well - put it this way - I wouldn't wish to be the victim group if it were up the the Germans - they'd arrive years late and with rules of engagement keeping their forces from preventing massacres!

Another complication is question of capability. Could be we Americans are overconfident of our capabilities, but the fact is that we are often capable of doing something to affect the situation. The Germans have not seen fit to maintain even the degree of military capability that they had during the Cold War, and increasingly depend upon proxies like the US. UK, Canada, etc to act for them.

Everyone in NATO cut military expenditure as a percentage of GDP after the end of the Cold War, but the Germans seem to have made the steepest cuts of all. The US cut from 6% of GDP to 3.5% or so, but the Germans cut from 5% to 1% and even today are only about 1.3% - or so I understand. Had Germany cut in proportion to the US they would be at 3% and I doubt we'd be hearing complaints about being bled out by deploying 11,000 troops, mostly in peaceful areas!

In effect Germany has been using their allies like a batch of unpaid and increasingly reviled mercenaries.

This is unacceptable in an would-be ally, rendered all the more unacceptable by the German yen to make the policy for forces not provided by or supported by Germans, and by the German penchant for scathing and unremitting criticism of such operations not contributed to by Germans, right down to ritual legal procedings initiated to bring the 'war criminals' to justice. Tommy Franks is a war criminal - Saddam Hussein was not.
 
Donald  Stadler

January 30, 2008

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One more thing: I agree with Herr Perthes that Germany needs to think about the rules which they will use in intervention. They did not see the present crisis coming and have as a result felt like they are being dragged kicking and screaming into the present conflict - against their will.

So Germany absolutely needs debates, guidelines, and think tanks to work out ahead of time what Germany's values and interests are so the country won't end up in the same postion again. But Germany also needs to think hard about what real value they can and are willing to bring to their alliances. The past decade or so it''s not been very much - I once characterised the German *contribution* to NATO as no combat but extremely willing to man the war-crime tribunals and send the soldiers of their allies to jail!

That wasn't fair, but I think it cuts uncomfortably close to the German position under Schroeder. It may be that Germans conclude that the game isn't worth the price - that alliance with the US is no longer worth the demands which it may place upon Germany. In that case the honest thing is to dissolve NATO - either de jure or de facto. What isn't honest is to insist that the US has a moral obligation to defend Central Europe but Central Europe has no reciprocal obligation to defend the US. Which is the current position in my opinion.
 
Till H. Hennig

February 8, 2008

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1.) A further significant aspect, that has to be considered in a debate on intervention is the impact the involvement will have prospectively on domestic affairs. Especially since Germany incorporates various national and religious minorities in its national territory.

2.) It is, plainly spoken, not practicable to bluntly grant states “that participate fully” in international interventions “a greater say when decisions are made on global issues” (Mr. J. Cricks: comment/January 30, 2008). – Nearly dispensable to draw up, after all, the interrelations between the states’ governments, the concerned institutions and the inducted committees, which differ from issue to issue.

3.) The complete essay of Mr. V. Perthes contains a reference to “self-mandating on the part of NATO” terming it an “exception”. The Washington summit of 24th April 1999 set the envisaged out-of-area- and out-of-defence-deployment. The extension of NATO’s objectives could become increasingly conducive in the future: It introduces the possibility to react, while integrating a manageable group of deciding states.

4.) It is of vital importance for the German nation to act within the for decades created European structures. This fact is much weightier than majoritarian “notions of political morality“ (Mr. D. Stadler: comment/January 30, 2008).
 

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