July 15, 2008 |  4 comments |  Print this Article | E-Mail Your Opinion  

Ari  Rusila

Will Kosovo Rise With 2 Billion Bucks?

Ari Rusila: As a result of an international donors conference, Kosovo has been given some 1.2 million euros. What for and how is this money going to be used when it reaches destination?

A European Union-hosted donors' conference for Kosovo collected some 1.2 billion euros to start turning Kosovo from an aid-dependent protectorate to a viable economy. The USA, throwing in some 400 m$, and Germany with 100 m€ are the biggest donors at country level so it is fair that taxpayers should find out a little bit where the money goes and the people in Kosovo too have the right to know what to expect.

Here are some remarks based to my own experiences in Kosovo:

Long travel from conference to field:

  • Donors´conference ends to promise to give some sum of money to Kosovo. If this promise will be kept or not we shall see, anyway in many similar conferences the implemented figures have been more or less short of original ones.
  • When some sum of donor money actually will be paid from donor so in most cases the donating country takes some percentage for donors own administrative costs before sending rest to management authority.
  • When management authority (receiving country, outside agency, consultant ...) gets the charges deducted sum, they are taking off their administrative costs.
  • Depending about programme practice there can also be some middlemen with their administrative costs.
  • The rest part of donor money is near for the beneficiary; how much money goes all the way depends local practice, price fixing and needs by local interest groups.

Money goes, report arrives

There is a big gap between original donors´ideas and real effects of their donation on the field. EU has ginven some 800 m€ during years 1999-2007 to Kosovo power plant. People in Kosovo still suffer power cuts. Like before despite an army of different international management groups, projects, training, investments and reports.

Earlier some donors gave money for a new school in a Kosovo village. The school was ready, a nice photo was taken for the media, tendering was made with standards, audit did not find anything special. So perfect project to satisfy donor? Small detail - there was no pupils for the new school. Similar examples are bridges, roads and swimming pools in middle of nowhere.

The lesson learned is that perfect report does not mean that positive development has happened on the field. Reports are describing how money is spent. More effective is to concentrate on the challenge of what to do with donations.

Money is only one of means - one part of resources. more important parts are vision, objective, strategy, implementation, feed back and commitment of beneficiary.

Some improvement

Some improvement can be made applying Logical Framework Approach through the process. Special need at local level is also for Participatory Planning methods so that all stakeholders can commit to actions. These two practice do not remove problems but they can make the impact of donor money more desired at destination.

I doubt that Serbia was invited to the donors´conference. However Serbia is one of the biggest donors in Kosovo distributing their aid mainly Serb populated areas. In this case there is a good possibility to integrate aid to national and local programmes. In the case of the donors conference, the challenge is much bigger, first because of the diversity of donors and second because of the huge chaos in Kosovo's administration. The bottom line is anyway to know how to use resources whatever money is arriving on the field.

Ari Rusila is a development project management expert from Finland with a special interest in the Balkan region.

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Marek  Swierczynski

July 19, 2008

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This article brings forward an issue that the EU is not quite ready to discuss: whether the whole of the Balkans are governable, sustainable and in future, capable to join. Kosovo's example shows that not. Some other parts of the Balkans are lucky enough to be in states like Slovenia, Bulgaria or Romania, that have been already scrutinized and judged EU-capable. But even there, serious questions arise as to how well these states have managed to implement the EU-required reforms or institutional changes. Bulgaria has just been warned on the EU funds. Earlier, the corruption report has said the country is still far beyond the standards the EU requires - but conditionally accepted it when admitting Bulgaria into the Bloc. Kosovo is far worse. No state entity to rule it, no institutions to govern it, two or more societies to rival for primacy, deeply rooted corruption and organized crime. How far are we from the breaking point? Far more than the 2 bln bucks.
Tags: | Kosovo | the Balkans |
 
Ari  Rusila

July 19, 2008

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In Europe the Kosovo question highlights the core problem of EU - uncritical following of US foreign (cowboy) policy . The results one can see now; Year 2008 has showed the chaotic stage of international Kosovo administration. Local administration has been in same situation already earlier due parallel institutions, corruption, ethnic tensions, tribe dynasties etc.

Very interesting interview of John Bolton, former US Undersecretary of State and Ambassador to the United Nations popped to my eyes few weeks ago. The highlights of his comments in Interfax interview were e.g. following:

*" US recognition of severed Kosovo province was a serious mistake, leading to an escalation of tensions, instead of calming down the situation in the Balkans."

* “support to the independence of Kosovo is an atavism that might have made sense 15 years ago, but makes no sense today.”

* “consensus boils down to the fact that nobody knows where Kosovo is”

Mr Bolton really hit the nail on the head. I also think that the cause to the main problems in Kosovo is hesitation to admit old mistakes. The solution would be starting from clean table.

However two weeks ago U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs Daniel Fried said that the U.S. is satisfied with the progress Kosovo. He also add that:

“It is a place completely independent, regardless of whether a UN resolution says that exists or not. It is independent. Kosovo has been recognized by two-thirds of the EU sates, Europe, Japan and Australia. It is as an independent country. I feel sorry that Russia has chosen to make this thing more difficult rather than to ease it, risking the stability but also the European future of Serbia”.

To me it is alarming, that this US policy has been made both during democratic and republican US presidents and not only in Balkans but e.g. in Iraq also. Future shows if the change will come with new president, will he change old advisers also. And will US succeed to gain support for these actions either through the use of NATO or by persuading the European Community or the newly emerging states of Central and Eastern Europe to get on side.
 
Marek  Swierczynski

July 20, 2008

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As far as the US policy is concerned, one can agree that Kosovo seen by the EU is the Clinton's and Solana's failure, though of course the US sees is as the tandem's success. Simplyfying the issue: the US has made all that mess ans withdrew after a couple of years, leaving the EU with the problem. Notably, the same situation seems to be happening now in Afghanistan and Iraq. It is NATO, who's been left with the many problems in Afghanistan and God knows who will be left with them in Iraq when the US withdraws (most probably Iraqis themselves). It is also striking that after all of this, Mr Solana is still at the top of the EU's foreign policy and has a great chance to secure the job under the Lisbon Treaty if it comes into power. It is even more striking that the kind of policy that apparently failed in Kosovo is still followed in the US.
 
Ari  Rusila

July 21, 2008

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Today´s Kosovo is an example of frozen conflict with thread to come next “failed state” in World. Negotiations during Ahtisaari time were waste of time; Troika lead talks showed some innovative solutions to status question, but Albanian side did not need to talk because USA ahd promsed hem independence. This created the core problem.

The way out could be to make a New Deal: US revises its foreign policy after elections and withdraws recognizing of Kosovo, real talks are starting and ending to bitter compromise (e.g. partitioning Kosovo, applying Hong Kong model …), Serbia and Kosovo are concentrating more to economical/social questions instead of quarreling borders. Pragmatic and maybe realistic result but needs hard work from all stakeholders.
Tags: | Kosovo | Serbia | EU USA | crisis management |
 

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